statistical sports betting system reddit

Remember that for most of these games you’re getting plus money.

The winning percentage hovers somewhere around 53% depending on the season. This system hasn’t had a losing season since 2005, producing a profitable winning percentage for nearly two decades. A negative correlation exists between blowout wins of 14 runs or more and a next-game win, so when you’re eyeballing for this trend, be sure to stay within that parameter. It’s also important to make sure that they won their most recent game by no more than 13 runs. The psychology behind it is simple – a group of guys with targets on their backs finally get a taste of the good life and they want more.Ī “bad team” is a team with a winning percentage under. This trend is particularly powerful during the sports’ regular season. When a team that’s been struggling to win pulls off a W, they’re much more likely to win again in their very next game. Learn them, incorporate them into your MLB betting strategies, and you may find yourself coming up with new angles to test out. The four baseball betting systems described below have all three features.

Without results above the break-even point consistently (generally meaning across more than one season), you don’t have a system, you have a statistical fluke. Without a data set, you don’t have a system, you just have a theory. Consistent results above the break-even point.A theory underlying the reason the system works.Others are bad – meaning they may look good on paper but don’t lead to a profitable betting system.Ī good baseball betting system has three things: Some of them are good – meaning they produce consistently profitable win rates. What’s a Baseball Betting System?Ī baseball betting system is a strategy for wagering on baseball games. The baseball betting systems described in this post are tried and true ways to highlight situations where bettors may increase their chances of winning at baseball betting sites. But for every excellent MLB betting system out there, I can find a dozen that are totally worthless, at least from the perspective of a sports gambler looking to increase profits.įor example, if you want to win more consistently in baseball, you have to go beyond the “bet against the public” baseball betting strategy. Betting systems use data and a little bit of sports psychology to show potentially profitable situations. Baseball’s long season has a way of grinding bankrolls down that makes it among the toughest sports for bettors.

Statistical sports betting system reddit